Hound

The Edge (MLB)

VerifiedHouse Model

Hound House Models · MLB · Moneyline

MLBMoneylineEdge
Free to follow

Estimates each team's win probability from the model, strips the vig out of the moneyline, and fires only when our number beats the market's by 5+ points. It passes most slates on purpose — the restraint is the edge.

Units-27.6
ROI-13.3%
Record70-137
CLV-0.2% · 37% beat close
Win %33.8%
Graded picks207

Cumulative units

The Edge passed on today's slate.

23 days since its last pick — sitting out when there's nothing worth playing is the strategy, not a gap.

Pick history

Every pick was timestamped and locked before its game started. Graded results below are the verified record — they can never be edited.

Every number is computed from locked, graded picks — never typed in. Last graded run: 10/16/2026, 8:00 PM.

Showing 1–25 of 211 graded picks

DateMatchupPickOddsResultUnits
10/16/2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles DodgersMilwaukee Brewers ML+146void0.00
10/15/2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers6–4Milwaukee Brewers ML+134win+1.34
10/14/2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers6–2Milwaukee Brewers ML+148win+1.48
10/12/2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers4–7Milwaukee Brewers ML+119win+1.19
9/30/2026Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros7–3Chicago White Sox ML+128win+1.28
9/29/2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves3–5Philadelphia Phillies ML+168loss-1.00
9/27/2026Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays1–5Cincinnati Reds ML+147loss-1.00
9/27/2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants5–1San Francisco Giants ML+208loss-1.00
9/27/2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies3–7Tampa Bay Rays ML+124loss-1.00
9/26/2026Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners4–8Los Angeles Angels ML+160loss-1.00
9/26/2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants4–3San Francisco Giants ML+264loss-1.00
9/25/2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants2–0San Francisco Giants ML+300loss-1.00
9/25/2026Houston Astros @ Athletics5–6Athletics ML+144win+1.44
9/25/2026New York Mets @ Washington Nationals6–7Washington Nationals ML+113win+1.13
9/25/2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies2–0Tampa Bay Rays ML+141win+1.41
9/24/2026Houston Astros @ Athletics7–5Athletics ML+134loss-1.00
9/24/2026Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves7–6Cincinnati Reds ML+183win+1.83
9/24/2026Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs1–2Miami Marlins ML+169loss-1.00
9/23/2026San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers5–1San Diego Padres ML+182win+1.82
9/23/2026Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves2–3Cincinnati Reds ML+209loss-1.00
9/22/2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies7–2Colorado Rockies ML+162loss-1.00
9/22/2026Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs8–2Miami Marlins ML+178win+1.78
9/20/2026Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets7–2New York Mets ML+141loss-1.00
9/19/2026San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–10San Francisco Giants ML+273loss-1.00
9/18/2026San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–8San Francisco Giants ML+248loss-1.00

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