Hound

The Edge (MLB)

VerifiedHouse Model

Hound House Models · MLB · Moneyline

MLBMoneylineEdge
Free to follow

Estimates each team's win probability from the model, strips the vig out of the moneyline, and fires only when our number beats the market's by 5+ points. It passes most slates on purpose — the restraint is the edge.

Units-29.9
ROI-15.5%
Record63-130
CLV-0.3% · 36% beat close
Win %32.6%
Graded picks193

Cumulative units

The Edge passed on today's slate.

0 days since its last pick — sitting out when there's nothing worth playing is the strategy, not a gap.

Pick history

Every pick was timestamped and locked before its game started. Graded results below are the verified record — they can never be edited.

Every number is computed from locked, graded picks — never typed in. Last graded run: 9/24/2026, 9:41 PM.

Showing 1–25 of 196 graded picks

DateMatchupPickOddsResultUnits
9/24/2026Houston Astros @ Athletics7–5Athletics ML+134loss-1.00
9/24/2026Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves7–6Cincinnati Reds ML+183win+1.83
9/24/2026Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs1–2Miami Marlins ML+169loss-1.00
9/23/2026San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers5–1San Diego Padres ML+182win+1.82
9/23/2026Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves2–3Cincinnati Reds ML+209loss-1.00
9/22/2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies7–2Colorado Rockies ML+162loss-1.00
9/22/2026Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs8–2Miami Marlins ML+178win+1.78
9/20/2026Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets7–2New York Mets ML+141loss-1.00
9/19/2026San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–10San Francisco Giants ML+273loss-1.00
9/18/2026San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–8San Francisco Giants ML+248loss-1.00
9/17/2026Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays1–10Athletics ML+232loss-1.00
9/16/2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals3–0Washington Nationals ML+161loss-1.00
9/16/2026San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals6–5San Francisco Giants ML+139win+1.39
9/15/2026Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels1–2Los Angeles Angels ML+141win+1.41
9/15/2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals3–6Washington Nationals ML+177win+1.77
9/15/2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates5–1Pittsburgh Pirates ML+213loss-1.00
9/15/2026Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays1–2Athletics ML+188loss-1.00
9/15/2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds4–0Cincinnati Reds ML+195loss-1.00
9/11/2026San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants7–5San Francisco Giants ML+123loss-1.00
9/11/2026Seattle Mariners @ Athletics5–6Athletics ML+138win+1.38
9/11/2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves5–6Philadelphia Phillies ML+157loss-1.00
9/11/2026Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays1–3Houston Astros ML+144loss-1.00
9/11/2026Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox3–2Kansas City Royals ML+169win+1.69
9/11/2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins6–2Miami Marlins ML+170loss-1.00
9/11/2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs2–12Pittsburgh Pirates ML+154loss-1.00

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